Gallego Leads Lake in AZ U.S. Senate Race
Poll shows Lake struggling to appeal to Independent and undecided GOP voters
By The Center Square, August 30, 2024 11:08 am
(The Center Square) – New polling shows Ruben Gallego is leading in the race for Arizona U.S. Senator over Republican Kari Lake.
Since her loss in the 2022 race for governor, Lake has struggled to appeal to Independent and undecided GOP voters. Polling conducted by Phoenix-based Noble Predictive Insights has Gallego leading by seven points. The report also notes that Gallego has more support from the Democratic party than Lake has with the Republican party. Gallego has been able to lead among Independents as well.
“Lake also struggled to gain a definitive edge on many issues,” reads the NPI report. “Among all voters, she has a within-the-margin lead on only immigration and inflation – both issues on which Trump had a substantial edge over Harris. While Lake is trusted by a majority of Republicans on immigration (78%), her support wanes on other critical issues like climate change, where only 56% of Republicans trust her. This disparity highlights a broader problem for Lake: her inability to galvanize strong, across-the-board support from her base.”
The NPI poll of 1,003 registered Arizona voters was conducted Aug. 12–16, with a 3% margin of error.
A poll conducted by Fox News, under the direction of Beacon Research and Shaw & Company Research where a little over 1,000 Arizona voters were surveyed, has Gallego is leading by 13 points, with the Democrat at 48% and Lake at 46%.
It also looked at Arizonans preference in the presidential election, where Vice President Kamala Harris is leading over former President Donald Trump by just one point. They were also asked if they would vote for a ballot amendment to enshrine the right to abortion in the Arizona Constitution to which a majority of 73% said “yes.”
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