A new survey by the political analytics firm GrayHouse suggests that Arizona Republicans may enter the 2026 election cycle with strong momentum across multiple statewide races. The report, titled “Arizona 2026 Statewide Elections – Republican Opportunities Across the Ballot,” shows GOP candidates leading Democrats in early polling for governor, attorney general, and several other executive offices.

Governor’s Race: Biggs Leads GOP Field

The GrayHouse poll, conducted in October 2025, surveyed 744 registered Arizona voters and 397 likely Republican primary voters. According to the findings, Congressman Andy Biggs holds a commanding lead in the GOP gubernatorial primary, earning 43 percent support compared to 19 percent for Karrin Taylor Robson, with other potential contenders polling in the single digits.

In a hypothetical general-election matchup, Governor Katie Hobbs trails a generic Republican 44 to 40 percent. The report attributes the shift partly to economic frustration, noting that “Arizona has fallen from 3rd in the nation for job growth to 47th under the Hobbs administration.”

The report also points to growing pessimism among voters about the state’s direction:

“52 percent say Arizona is on the wrong track compared to just 25 percent who say the state is heading in the right direction.”

Housing costs were another flashpoint for respondents. The report noted that “housing prices have surged 55 percent since 2019, dramatically outpacing wage growth.”

Attorney General Race: Petersen Out Front

The same survey identifies Senate President Warren Petersen as the early front-runner for AG in the Republican primary. When respondents learned of Petersen’s legislative record and background, his lead rose to 33 points among GOP voters.

The report stated, “Warren Petersen’s combination of legislative experience and pro-family policy positions gives him broad appeal within the Republican base.”

In the general-election test, incumbent Attorney General Kris Mayes was statistically tied with a generic Republican candidate, 41 to 40 percent, suggesting a competitive rematch for the office she narrowly won in 2022.

GrayHouse’s data shows Republicans maintaining substantial advantages on key issues. The firm reports that voters trust Republicans more than Democrats by 30 points on border security, 26 points on crime, 10 points on taxes, and 6 points on jobs and the economy.

“Republicans dominate on voter priorities,” the report concludes. “This is the most favorable environment for Republicans in years.”

The analysis emphasizes cost of living, border control, and education as the central issues shaping voter sentiment going into 2026.

GrayHouse is a political data and polling firm founded by Arizona-based strategist Landon Wall. The company provides campaign analytics, multi-mode polling (live calls, SMS-to-web, and online panels), and message testing for clients nationwide.

According to its website, GrayHouse “builds data and analytics operations for dozens of campaigns across the country,” and has been described by Politico as “the go-to pollster for the Senate Republican Conference.”

While the Arizona 2026 survey discloses its sample size, GrayHouse has not publicly listed a margin of error or detailed weighting methodology for the poll.

The early numbers indicate potential headwinds for Democrats as Arizona heads toward another high-stakes election cycle. With affordability, security, and education topping the list of voter concerns, GrayHouse analysts argue that the state’s rightward lean could strengthen if Republicans maintain unity and field strong candidates.

“Arizona remains competitive,” the report concludes, “but the fundamentals currently favor the GOP across the ballot.”